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Nate Silver predicts the Super Bowl matchup (video)

Jan 11, 2013, 11:17 AM EDT

Nate Silver AP

With zero percent of precincts reporting, we have a Super Bowl matchup. You may remember statistician Nate Silver from such hits as correctly predicting the 2012 presidential race, and being author of the FiveThirtyEight blog at The New York Times. Now he’s taking a stab at the NFL playoffs, because it’s not an election year and he’s bored, I guess.

So Silver did that numbers voodoo that he do so well, and came up with the two teams he thinks will meet in New Orleans during a segment on ESPN’s First Take. And they are … New England and Seattle.

Listening to his rationale, it doesn’t exactly sound like Moneyball.

“San Francisco… played very well for much of the year,” said Silver, “In terms of the balance overall between offensive and defensive play, Seattle had that best balance throughout the year and… in the second half, were blowing people out by 50-to-7 scores and so forth. So, they had the best stats from the regular season.”

Nerds predicting sports? Madness! But will I bet against him? What, and end up like poor Karl Rove? No thanks.

  1. cur68 - Jan 11, 2013 at 2:19 PM

    Its very hard to predict within a one-and-done format. Mr. Silver’s really bored because this is going out on such a thin limb that I’d think he’d ordinarily stay away from it.